Cadillac Area Trail Report – 01/17
CADILLAC AREA UPDATE via Coyote Crossing Resort – 01/17 Well, people are definitely riding around in our area, but conditions vary WIDELY between areas. You can be on dirt/mud on our access trail and be in great snow on forest roads and trails from Boon to Mesick. Forest roads around Olga Lake/Bristol are still good. I have not heard of any grooming restart yet, but there will have to be some damage control done soon. Biggest thing with agitating this marginal base, is we need cold temps and mild traffic to follow, or things might get worse. I will reach out to Winter Promotions Trail Boss and confirm his thoughts on topic. We are open for carry-out and outside seating today (Sunday) and tomorrow starting at noon. Planning to close at 9pm Sunday and 8pm Monday. Thanks to those that came out for some Live Music/Food/Fires last night in corral … Fun time, considering all the circumstances this year. THINK SNOW, Pete *****Grooming Update! Guys are going out today (Sunday) to do some damage repair and then try and flatten again tomorrow (Monday) after most have gone home. We cannot overgroom right now, with these conditions, but rest assured They are being worked on as much as makes sense. Colder temps this week should help! <> CADILLAC WINTER PROMOTIONS – Awaiting update…. —– To better access the forest trails, you’ll want to use one of the Staging Areas below: 33 Rd Staging Area–S of M-55–approx.. 3 miles west of Cadillac on M-55 (watch for signs) Caberfae Staging Area–approx.. 12 miles west of Cadillac on M-55 (watch for signs) Boon Staging Area–park in plowed area south of Boon Grocery Note: The porta-a-johns were removed from our staging areas today as our contracts on them expired 3-15-13. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * VIA CADILLAC WINTER PROMOTIONS <> WEATHER UPDATE via 9&10 News >> Winter Storm Update: 3-15 Sunday 1PM WEATHER UPDATE via Michigan Storm Chasers >> Final Update For Ice Accretion: WEATHER UPDATE via US National Weather Service Gaylord Michigan >> First round of a significant winter storm this morning, with moderate to heavy snow, quick drops in visibility, and poor driving conditions. Heaviest snow during this time will be across the Tip of the Mitt and eastern upper Michigan. WEATHER UPDATE via Michigan Storm Chasers >> One of the most absurd snow forecasts we’ve ever made here at MSC, we’ve had to add an impromptu orange color for higher totals. WEATHER UPDATE via Michigan Storm Chasers >> Along with significant snowfall, comes the chance of significant ice accretion. We’ve seen a bit of a northward shift over the last 24 hours which has taken higher accretion amounts and shifted them. We still expect a corridor of 0.50” or more across Cheboygan, Boyne City, Gaylord, and Rogers City regions. The further south you go, the less ice accretion becomes... #miweather #gaylord #cadillac #benzie #traversecity #petoskeyAlong with significant snowfall, comes the chance of significant ice accretion. We’ve seen a bit of a northward shift over the last 24 hours which has taken higher accretion amounts and shifted them. We still expect a corridor of 0.50” or more across Cheboygan, Boyne City, Gaylord, and Rogers City regions. The further south you go, the less ice accretion becomes. <> Latest Trail Reports – Quick Links <>
http://msasnow.org/trail-reports/cadillac-winter-promotions/Postings From Regional Pages On Facebook
Phase 2 of the Winter Storm is kicking off! This will bring heavy snow and gusty winds still for the U.P. and Tip of the Mitt. The icing area we have talked about for the last few days landed where we thought it would. Leelanau down to Wexford and Northeast. These areas could see up to .5" of ice through today and tonight with isolated higher amounts. Winds will continue to gust upwards of 40-50mph. The snow totals map you see is on top of what you have already seen.
Don't be fooled, the lull from the initial burst to the second part is the system nearing. The second phase will be the worst with this storm. This afternoon - Monday morning.
I will be live with an update this evening at 6, right here on the 9&10 Facebook page and the 9&10 News YouTube channel.
We will also be live on tv at 11! #miweather #gaylord #cadillac #benzie #traversecity #petoskey #soo #newberry
A dangerous ice storm will begin tonight for portions of northern lower Michigan. The heaviest ice accretion takes aim in a localized area from Traverse City to Gaylord to Atlanta with over 0.50" of ice expected. Around this area, a zone of significant icing between 0.25' to 0.50" is expected - which is still enough to take down tree limbs and create power outages. The worst of the icing will be tonight into Monday morning, and then we deal with high winds moving in Monday morning as well which will only exaggerate the effects of this event.
Plan for multi day outages, near impossible travel, and scattered tree damage, some significant. #miweather #gaylord #cadillac #benzie #traversecity #petoskey #soo #newberryFinal Update For Ice Accretion:
A dangerous ice storm will begin tonight for portions of northern lower Michigan. The heaviest ice accretion takes aim in a localized area from Traverse City to Gaylord to Atlanta with over 0.50" of ice expected. Around this area, a zone of significant icing between 0.25' to 0.50" is expected - which is still enough to take down tree limbs and create power outages. The worst of the icing will be tonight into Monday morning, and then we deal with high winds moving in Monday morning as well which will only exaggerate the effects of this event.
Plan for multi day outages, near impossible travel, and scattered tree damage, some significant. 
Significant snow and icing are expected/expected to continue this afternoon through tonight. 0.25”+ icing likely for parts of northern lower with localized higher icing amounts possible. This is the most likely time frame for considerable impacts to roads and infrastructure. Snow continues across the eastern U.P. and parts of far northern lower.
Colder air wraps in area-wide during the day Monday bringing an end to the icing threat across northern lower. However, lake effect snow is expected most prominently across northwest lower and eastern upper MI. Strong winds will of 45+ mph are expected with continued blizzard conditions across parts of the area. Strong winds may exacerbate impacts to infrastructure. #miweather #gaylord #cadillac #benzie #traversecity #petoskey
Key Notes:
•Snow begins to work into Michigan late tonight, but becomes more widespread during the early morning hours of Sunday. This snow continues through Tuesday morning for the UP, and becomes a snow/freezing rain/sleet mix for northern lower Michigan beginning Sunday afternoon/evening.
•Winds will gust between 40-60mph statewide both on Sunday and Monday.
•This will be a full on blizzard for much of the Upper Peninsula
•Expect scattered power outages across the state
•Travel will be near impossible for the UP and northern lower
Snow totals will be between one and four FEET when all is said and done on Tuesday in the UP. Further south, a mix is expected which will keep accumulations lower, and also will provide a sharp cutoff of accumulations. The difference between a foot of snow and 2” may be the width of one county.
Further south, this system will end as snow for lower Michigan on Monday & Tuesday, which is why we have a wide area within a trace to an inch, and western lower in a 1-3” zone with wording of higher totals possible. We may need to adjust totals here as new data comes clearer for Tuesday.
Stay tuned for the icing portion of this forecast. Northern lower Michigan will see significant icing which is not shown or communicated in this forecast graphic or write up. #miweather #keweenaw #westernup #marquette #munising #seney #newberry #soo #gaylord #cadillac #benzie #traversecity #petoskeyOne of the most absurd snow forecasts we’ve ever made here at MSC, we’ve had to add an impromptu orange color for higher totals.
Key Notes:
•Snow begins to work into Michigan late tonight, but becomes more widespread during the early morning hours of Sunday. This snow continues through Tuesday morning for the UP, and becomes a snow/freezing rain/sleet mix for northern lower Michigan beginning Sunday afternoon/evening.
•Winds will gust between 40-60mph statewide both on Sunday and Monday.
•This will be a full on blizzard for much of the Upper Peninsula
•Expect scattered power outages across the state
•Travel will be near impossible for the UP and northern lower
Snow totals will be between one and four FEET when all is said and done on Tuesday in the UP. Further south, a mix is expected which will keep accumulations lower, and also will provide a sharp cutoff of accumulations. The difference between a foot of snow and 2” may be the width of one county.
Further south, this system will end as snow for lower Michigan on Monday & Tuesday, which is why we have a wide area within a trace to an inch, and western lower in a 1-3” zone with wording of higher totals possible. We may need to adjust totals here as new data comes clearer for Tuesday.
Stay tuned for the icing portion of this forecast. Northern lower Michigan will see significant icing which is not shown or communicated in this forecast graphic or write up.
Within the 0.25” and 0.50” zones, we expect multiple power outages along with scattered tree damage as a result of the weight of the ice and gusty winds combining. These outages may be multi-day outages, and those in these two zones should take necessary precautionary actions to ensure you are ready.
Outside of the heaviest ice accretion, near impossible travel should be expected due to icing and heavy snow that may blow around.
Speaking of blowing around, winds will be gusting between 40-50mph across northern lower Michigan on both Sunday and Monday. This will aide in further worsening of tree damage and power outages.
The WORST of the freezing rain occurs Sunday evening and continues into Monday morning. We expect Monday to be the worst of the event for the icing area.
Please see our previous forecast for snowfall information, and please reference our wind map set to be posted around 7:30pm which focuses on Sunday.